Gambling Man by Lionel Barber, framework 6 of 8
The 30-Year Vision brainstorm
How Masa ran strategy sessions for SoftBank's 30th anniversary.
Lionel Barber's framework, from Gambling Man, pp. 188 to 234.
- Start with the conclusion
Fix the destination first and work backwards from it.
- Look further when lost
If the picture is unclear, widen the time frame, and start bold 300 years ahead.
- Work backwards to 30 years
Derive what the world will look like in 30 years from the 300 year picture.
- Ask four technology questions
Ask what future chips look like, which applications they enable, how lifestyles change and what the competitive outlook is.
- Open it to the wider group
Consult employees and canvass outsiders, including through Twitter.
From chapter: PART FOUR: THE EMPIRE BUILDER, pp. 188–234
More from this book
All 8 frameworks-
Framework 7 · Hiring and teams The Sprint turnaround under Claure The cost and capital moves used to fix Sprint after the failed T-Mobile merger.
-
Framework 8 · Sales and negotiation Elliott's SoftBank playbook How the activist fund approached Masa and what it asked him to do.
-
Framework 1 · Sales and negotiation Masa's market filter How the 24 year old picked software distribution out of about 40 ideas.
-
Framework 2 · Offers and pricing The Yahoo! formula The repeatable cycle Masa built from his Yahoo! investment.
-
Framework 3 · AI Kitao's bond liberalisation play How SoftBank refinanced a $500m bank loan and broke the main-bank system.
-
Framework 4 · Offers and pricing The Vodafone Japan turnaround How Masa turned a third-rate mobile business into a challenger to NTT Docomo.