Bookshelf · Gambling Man

Gambling Man by Lionel Barber, framework 6 of 8

The 30-Year Vision brainstorm

How Masa ran strategy sessions for SoftBank's 30th anniversary.

Lionel Barber's framework, from Gambling Man, pp. 188 to 234.

  1. Start with the conclusion

    Fix the destination first and work backwards from it.

  2. Look further when lost

    If the picture is unclear, widen the time frame, and start bold 300 years ahead.

  3. Work backwards to 30 years

    Derive what the world will look like in 30 years from the 300 year picture.

  4. Ask four technology questions

    Ask what future chips look like, which applications they enable, how lifestyles change and what the competitive outlook is.

  5. Open it to the wider group

    Consult employees and canvass outsiders, including through Twitter.

From chapter: PART FOUR: THE EMPIRE BUILDER, pp. 188–234

More from this book

All 8 frameworks

Back to the bookshelf